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Qual 302015 Peachtree Regional
Red22
414810.0
41499.7
38159.4
Blue8
309111.4
402620.1
533616.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15300406080100120140160228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4148
#52
10.00.4
4.5→4.9
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 10.1
4026
#21
20.11.0
15.2→14.1
Auto0.5
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
4149
#60
9.70.4
7.9→8.2
Auto0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
blue by 7.0
5336
#28DQ
16.71.7
5.8→4.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
3815
#54
9.40.4
5.4→5.7
Auto0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 2.0
3091
#20
11.41.0
7.6→6.5
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0