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Red115
450922.6
131942.9
411227.4
Blue96
418937.9
510917.6
56518.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6749020408010012014016011596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.92.4
34.336.7
Auto0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
red by 5.0
37.92.1
27.429.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
27.44.0
11.715.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 9.8
5109
#35
17.62.1
19.521.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
4509
#11
22.64.0
20.524.5
Auto0.0
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 13.8
5651
#44
8.83.5
6.910.4
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0