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Red1
558210.5
38612.6
139811.5
Blue42
571715.8
32652.9
126136.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19550100150142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1398
#27
11.51.2
8.97.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 25.2
36.70.5
31.931.5
Auto0.4
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Second
5582
#39
10.52.0
11.99.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5717
#40
15.80.8
9.99.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
3861
#63
2.62.0
4.32.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.6
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3265
#65
2.90.8
9.28.5
Auto0.0
Teleop2.9
End0.0