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Red62
41499.7
401323.6
411227.4
Blue34
533227.0
17716.8
49245.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424102060806234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.41.7
16.918.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 0.4
5332
#16
27.00.5
25.625.1
Auto0.1
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
4013
#24
23.61.0
17.818.8
Auto0.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0
red by 16.8
1771
#61
6.80.9
14.413.5
Auto0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
Third
4149
#60
9.71.7
6.98.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.6
End0.0
red by 4.3
4924
#62
5.40.9
4.63.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.5
End0.0