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Red17
11272.0
559413.9
164823.7
Blue22
414810.0
503413.9
510917.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333210204050601722

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1648
#34
23.70.5
22.521.9
Auto0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 6.1
5109
#35
17.60.5
22.421.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
5594
#45
13.90.9
5.24.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
5034
#51
13.90.9
7.36.4
Auto0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
1127
#64
2.00.9
6.35.4
Auto0.1
Teleop1.9
End0.0
blue by 8.0
4148
#52
10.00.9
3.22.3
Auto0.1
Teleop9.9
End0.0