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Red103
418831.0
563215.0
418937.9
Blue59
38159.4
474916.6
39763.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7265010015020010359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.92.0
31.833.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
red by 21.2
4749
#49
16.63.6
10.614.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Second
31.02.0
17.018.9
Auto0.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 21.6
3815
#54
9.43.6
6.810.4
Auto0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
5632
#25
15.03.3
15.118.4
Auto0.9
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 11.1
3976
#56
3.92.1
-1.11.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0