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Red45
241535.1
168317.1
504518.2
Blue58
126136.7
513217.8
39763.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5739020801001201401604558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
35.10.7
28.828.1
Auto0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
blue by 1.7
36.71.0
31.832.7
Auto0.4
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Second
5045
#23
18.20.9
9.38.4
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
red by 0.4
5132
#31
17.81.2
11.012.2
Auto0.5
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
1683
#32
17.10.6
18.017.3
Auto0.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 13.2
3976
#56
3.91.0
0.71.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.0
End0.0