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Red53
446829.6
83218.9
474916.6
Blue21
558210.5
445919.9
533616.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4218060801001205321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.61.1
9.610.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 9.8
4459
#29
19.90.1
7.87.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
832
#22
18.90.7
15.916.6
Auto0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 2.2
5336
#28
16.70.1
6.56.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
4749
#49
16.61.1
14.115.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 6.1
5582
#39
10.55.7
14.18.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.5
End0.0