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Red101
241535.1
83218.9
331823.1
Blue65
409219.5
313924.8
446829.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52522040608010010165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
35.12.4
25.628.0
Auto0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 5.4
29.60.8
21.222.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.7
End0.0
Second
3318
#19
23.14.1
11.815.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 1.7
3139
#10
24.80.8
18.219.0
Auto0.0
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
832
#22
18.92.4
14.717.1
Auto0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
blue by 0.5
4092
#36
19.50.8
15.816.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0