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Qual 542015 Peachtree Regional
Red82
10827.4
34337.8
548214.0
Blue18
504518.2
54059.8
174631.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5450203040607080901008218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#13
37.81.3
27.2→28.6
Auto1.7
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 6.1
1746
#17
31.71.4
27.5→26.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
108
#15
27.41.3
19.2→20.5
Auto0.7
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 9.2
5045
#23
18.22.4
15.0→12.6
Auto0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
Third
5482
#41
14.02.2
9.0→11.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
5405
#48
9.82.4
10.1→7.7
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0