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Red72
369414.7
560829.6
445919.9
Blue54
450922.6
507416.4
402024.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27630501001502007254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5608
#14
29.63.2
13.516.6
Auto0.0
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 5.2
4020
#12
24.50.5
20.920.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
4459
#29
19.93.2
8.711.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4509
#11
22.60.5
28.227.8
Auto0.0
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
3694
#46
14.71.9
11.813.7
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.7
5074
#30
16.40.5
10.49.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0