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Red21
533616.7
11272.0
168317.1
Blue73
470114.3
401323.6
54059.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392902060801001202173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1683
#32
17.10.9
18.217.3
Auto0.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 6.5
4013
#24
23.62.1
18.820.9
Auto0.0
Teleop23.6
End0.0
Second
5336
#28
16.71.4
14.813.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 2.5
4701
#43
14.33.5
4.68.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
1127
#64
2.01.4
5.44.0
Auto0.1
Teleop1.9
End0.0
blue by 7.7
5405
#48
9.83.5
7.711.2
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0