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Red28
513217.8
503413.9
548214.0
Blue18
38612.6
529316.3
49107.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions472404060801001201401602818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5132
#31
17.81.5
19.618.2
Auto0.5
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 1.5
5293
#42
16.30.9
15.414.5
Auto0.0
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Second
5482
#41
14.01.5
13.311.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
red by 6.1
4910
#53
7.90.9
8.37.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0
Third
5034
#51
13.91.5
12.611.2
Auto0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 11.3
3861
#63
2.60.9
4.83.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop2.6
End0.0