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Red46
11272.0
34337.8
563215.0
Blue84
445919.9
241535.1
365327.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446401001502004684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#13
37.80.1
29.129.0
Auto1.7
Teleop36.1
End0.0
red by 2.8
2415
#18
35.11.0
29.530.6
Auto0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
5632
#25
15.00.2
15.615.4
Auto0.9
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 12.8
3653
#26
27.81.0
20.721.8
Auto0.1
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Third
1127
#64
2.00.2
4.03.7
Auto0.1
Teleop1.9
End0.0
blue by 17.8
4459
#29
19.91.7
13.114.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0