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Red84
56518.8
174631.7
560829.6
Blue49
409219.5
510917.6
168317.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions466001001502002503008449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1746
#17
31.71.7
26.528.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 12.3
4092
#36
19.50.9
22.721.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
5608
#14
29.62.8
17.120.0
Auto0.0
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 12.0
5109
#35
17.60.6
20.319.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5651
#44
8.82.8
6.29.1
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0
blue by 8.2
1683
#32
17.10.6
17.316.8
Auto0.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0