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Red101
164823.7
445919.9
411227.4
Blue132
402620.1
470718.2
126136.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6059204080100120101132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.43.1
24.327.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 9.3
36.73.4
33.236.7
Auto0.4
Teleop36.4
End0.0
Second
1648
#34
23.72.0
21.723.7
Auto0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 3.6
4026
#21
20.13.4
17.020.4
Auto0.5
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
4459
#29
19.93.1
14.918.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 1.6
4707
#33
18.25.4
12.818.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0