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Red54
49107.9
168317.1
313924.8
Blue40
418937.9
38159.4
32652.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455201001502002503005440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3139
#10
24.80.5
23.524.0
Auto0.0
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 13.1
37.90.7
38.938.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
1683
#32
17.10.3
16.817.1
Auto0.5
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 7.7
3815
#54
9.41.0
10.49.4
Auto0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
4910
#53
7.90.5
7.47.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0
red by 5.0
3265
#65
2.91.0
4.02.9
Auto0.0
Teleop2.9
End0.0