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Red5
49245.4
55369.0
548214.0
Blue95
510917.6
402024.5
418831.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332020406080595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5482
#41
14.07.7
14.06.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.1
End0.0
blue by 16.9
31.03.3
5.48.7
Auto0.1
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Second
5536
#59
9.01.5
13.812.3
Auto0.1
Teleop8.9
End0.0
blue by 15.5
4020
#12
24.54.9
13.418.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Third
4924
#62
5.42.2
9.06.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.5
End0.0
blue by 12.2
5109
#35
17.63.3
17.020.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0