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Red24
369414.7
571715.8
411227.4
Blue0
503413.9
409219.5
470114.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3532020406080240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.40.9
11.911.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.4
End0.0
red by 7.9
4092
#36
19.52.9
16.313.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Second
5717
#40
15.88.1
15.87.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 1.5
4701
#43
14.32.9
10.17.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
Third
3694
#46
14.70.6
14.013.4
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 0.8
5034
#51
13.92.9
8.45.5
Auto0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0