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Red99
100224.4
418842.4
58408.5
Blue36
529316.3
411227.4
83218.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755801001509936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4188
Unranked
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto0.0
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 15.0
4112
Unranked
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
1002
Unranked
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 5.5
832
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Third
5840
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 7.8
5293
Unranked
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto0.0
Teleop16.3
End0.0