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Red149
174642.7
297458.2
510917.6
Blue62
131118.3
49107.9
418937.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12650010015020025014962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
Unranked
58.20.0
58.258.2
Auto0.4
Teleop57.9
End0.0
red by 20.4
4189
Unranked
37.90.0
37.937.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop38.0
End0.0
Second
1746
Unranked
42.70.0
42.742.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop42.8
End0.0
red by 24.4
1311
Unranked
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto0.7
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
5109
Unranked
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 9.7
4910
Unranked
7.90.0
7.97.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.9
End0.0