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Red9
446827.8
58408.5
494115.2
Blue93
418842.4
83218.9
553619.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43840100150200250993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4468
Unranked
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
blue by 14.6
4188
Unranked
42.40.0
42.442.4
Auto0.0
Teleop42.4
End0.0
Second
4941
Unranked
15.20.0
15.215.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
5536
Unranked
19.00.0
19.019.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
5840
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 10.4
832
Unranked
18.90.0
18.918.9
Auto0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0