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Red132
59737.3
549824.4
299048.5
Blue189
349227.4
169074.6
546044.5
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96139050200250132189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#44
48.51.3
47.348.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop49.0
End0.0
blue by 26.1
74.62.6
70.773.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop75.1
End0.0
Second
597
#25
37.31.3
36.037.3
Auto0.1
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 7.2
5460
#24
44.52.6
41.944.5
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
Third
5498
#64
24.41.3
23.124.4
Auto0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
blue by 3.0
3492
#62
27.42.6
24.827.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.6
End0.0