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Red84
394442.3
317523.8
492015.7
Blue136
87661.1
21944.3
10215.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7012505010015020025084136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3944
#30
42.30.4
41.041.5
Auto-2.2
Teleop44.5
End0.0
blue by 18.9
876
#6
61.10.8
62.262.9
Auto0.3
Teleop60.8
End0.0
Second
3175
#60
23.80.4
25.125.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 20.5
219
#48
44.30.8
43.544.3
Auto0.0
Teleop44.3
End0.0
Third
4920
#63
15.70.4
15.315.7
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 0.2
102
#71
15.50.8
14.815.5
Auto0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0