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Red152
154717.9
161974.6
36553.7
Blue150
521639.9
511434.8
164934.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14988050100200152150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#12
74.60.4
73.774.1
Auto0.8
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 34.7
5216
#49
39.92.4
37.439.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.2
End0.0
Second
365
#9
53.70.4
53.654.0
Auto1.6
Teleop52.1
End0.0
red by 18.9
5114
#50
34.82.4
32.434.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop35.6
End0.0
Third
1547
#66
17.90.4
17.517.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 16.1
1649
#23
34.02.4
31.534.0
Auto0.8
Teleop33.2
End0.0