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Red170
33378.8
250255.1
378749.1
Blue167
555435.7
554115.6
33075.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96118050150200250170167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#19
55.13.3
52.055.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop55.4
End0.0
blue by 20.2
330
#11
75.32.4
72.174.5
Auto2.7
Teleop72.6
End0.0
Second
3787
#15
49.13.3
45.849.1
Auto0.6
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 13.4
5554
#41
35.72.4
33.335.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Third
3337
#73
8.83.3
5.58.8
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 6.8
5541
#67
15.62.4
13.215.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0