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Red164
38448.7
56829.9
49455.3
Blue103
159556.7
190225.3
558427.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610350150200164103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#14
55.31.8
53.755.5
Auto12.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 1.4
1595
#37
56.70.4
57.457.0
Auto1.2
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
384
#17
48.71.8
45.647.4
Auto0.0
Teleop48.7
End0.0
red by 21.5
5584
#51
27.20.4
27.627.2
Auto0.9
Teleop26.3
End0.0
Third
568
#43
29.91.8
28.129.9
Auto0.7
Teleop29.1
End0.0
red by 4.5
1902
#56
25.30.4
25.725.3
Auto0.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0