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Red172
496147.8
237525.3
118964.4
Blue146
216856.9
302617.2
356237.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339750150200172146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#34
64.42.0
62.464.4
Auto1.0
Teleop63.4
End0.0
red by 7.5
2168
#20
56.92.0
56.258.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop57.6
End0.0
Second
4961
#10
47.82.0
46.148.1
Auto0.0
Teleop47.8
End0.0
red by 10.6
3562
#29
37.22.0
35.237.2
Auto0.1
Teleop37.1
End0.0
Third
2375
#61
25.32.0
23.325.3
Auto0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
red by 8.1
3026
#72
17.22.0
14.716.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.7
End0.0