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Red40
100224.4
542920.7
317523.8
Blue78
205250.2
339711.6
74453.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions611290501001502002504078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#47
24.41.7
26.124.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 29.0
744
#22
53.42.2
55.953.6
Auto1.5
Teleop51.9
End0.0
Second
3175
#60
23.81.7
25.523.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 26.4
2052
#33
50.22.2
52.850.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Third
5429
#68
20.71.7
22.420.7
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 9.1
3397
#75
11.62.2
13.811.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.3
End0.0