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Red209
49455.3
101126.4
74453.4
Blue148
555435.7
2759.0
341022.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1339050100150200209148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#14
55.33.9
47.951.8
Auto12.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
27
#7
59.02.4
54.256.6
Auto0.4
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Second
744
#22
53.43.9
56.560.4
Auto1.5
Teleop51.9
End0.0
red by 17.7
5554
#41
35.72.9
26.129.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
Third
1011
#52
26.43.9
26.330.2
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0
red by 4.4
3410
#55
22.02.4
19.722.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0