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Red169
161974.6
21944.3
542920.7
Blue134
86251.3
36553.7
38448.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14113380100120160180200169134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#12
74.61.2
77.678.8
Auto0.8
Teleop73.8
End0.0
red by 20.9
365
#9
53.70.3
46.946.7
Auto1.6
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Second
219
#48
44.31.2
45.046.2
Auto0.0
Teleop44.3
End0.0
blue by 7.0
862
#28
51.30.3
53.152.8
Auto-1.4
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Third
5429
#68
20.71.2
22.523.7
Auto0.3
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 28.0
384
#17
48.70.3
39.238.9
Auto0.0
Teleop48.7
End0.0