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Red89
328832.8
314657.4
549824.4
Blue96
33378.8
159556.7
317523.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11273501001502008996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3146
#21
57.41.0
54.653.5
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
red by 0.7
1595
#37
56.70.7
52.353.0
Auto1.2
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
3288
#36
32.81.0
34.633.6
Auto0.4
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 9.0
3175
#60
23.80.7
19.019.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
5498
#64
24.41.0
20.819.7
Auto0.3
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 15.6
3337
#73
8.80.7
10.811.5
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0