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Red134
54216.7
52586.5
154032.4
Blue139
11146.8
558427.2
4535.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10690406080120140160180134139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#3
86.51.3
74.976.2
Auto0.1
Teleop86.4
End0.0
red by 39.7
111
#31
46.82.2
41.443.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Second
1540
#46
32.41.3
26.227.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.4
End0.0
blue by 3.5
45
#38
35.82.2
34.036.2
Auto1.2
Teleop34.6
End0.0
Third
5421
#74
6.71.8
6.68.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 20.5
5584
#51
27.22.2
20.322.5
Auto0.9
Teleop26.3
End0.0