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Red96
59737.3
118964.4
56829.9
Blue122
245155.5
492015.7
96744.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114935015020096122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#34
64.40.9
66.765.7
Auto1.0
Teleop63.4
End0.0
red by 8.9
2451
#18
55.51.1
54.255.3
Auto0.9
Teleop54.5
End0.0
Second
597
#25
37.30.9
25.824.9
Auto0.1
Teleop37.2
End0.0
blue by 7.2
967
#39
44.41.1
37.538.6
Auto0.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Third
568
#43
29.91.0
22.321.3
Auto0.7
Teleop29.1
End0.0
red by 14.2
4920
#63
15.71.2
8.19.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0