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Red100
367449.0
24548.1
23735.3
Blue164
299048.5
2759.0
496147.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121142050100200250300100164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#45
49.01.4
46.445.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.7
End0.0
blue by 10.0
27
#7
59.01.0
56.657.6
Auto0.4
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Second
245
#32
48.11.4
46.244.8
Auto0.8
Teleop47.4
End0.0
blue by 0.4
2990
#44
48.51.0
45.546.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop49.0
End0.0
Third
237
#69
35.31.4
36.134.6
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
blue by 12.5
4961
#10
47.81.0
41.542.5
Auto0.0
Teleop47.8
End0.0