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Red74
555435.7
328832.8
21944.3
Blue48
154717.9
366842.3
349227.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111690501001502007448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#48
44.31.7
46.244.4
Auto0.0
Teleop44.3
End0.0
red by 2.0
3668
#26
42.31.5
39.638.1
Auto0.1
Teleop42.2
End0.0
Second
5554
#41
35.71.9
29.027.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
red by 8.3
3492
#62
27.41.5
22.220.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
3288
#36
32.81.7
33.631.8
Auto0.4
Teleop32.4
End0.0
red by 15.0
1547
#66
17.91.5
16.414.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0