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Red96
154717.9
237525.3
299048.5
Blue69
96744.4
437323.5
190225.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75930501502002509669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#44
48.50.8
46.647.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop49.0
End0.0
red by 4.1
967
#39
44.41.2
38.637.4
Auto0.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Second
2375
#61
25.30.8
19.320.0
Auto0.2
Teleop25.1
End0.0
blue by 0.1
1902
#56
25.31.2
25.724.5
Auto0.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
1547
#66
17.90.8
14.915.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 5.6
4373
#53
23.51.2
29.127.9
Auto0.3
Teleop23.2
End0.0