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Red114
4535.8
546044.5
49246.7
Blue128
23735.3
492015.7
118964.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211036080140160180200114128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#27
46.70.4
46.446.0
Auto0.2
Teleop46.5
End0.0
blue by 17.7
1189
#34
64.41.2
65.766.9
Auto1.0
Teleop63.4
End0.0
Second
5460
#24
44.50.4
40.139.7
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
red by 9.2
237
#69
35.31.2
34.635.8
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Third
45
#38
35.80.4
36.235.7
Auto1.2
Teleop34.6
End0.0
red by 20.1
4920
#63
15.71.2
9.310.5
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0