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Red147
2056104.7
555435.7
100224.4
Blue192
169074.6
367449.0
356237.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160133100150200250147192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.70.7
104.8104.0
Auto12.1
Teleop92.6
End0.0
red by 30.1
74.62.5
73.676.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop75.1
End0.0
Second
5554
#41
35.70.7
27.126.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
blue by 13.3
3674
#45
49.02.5
45.047.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.7
End0.0
Third
1002
#47
24.40.7
30.029.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
blue by 12.8
3562
#29
37.22.5
23.425.9
Auto0.1
Teleop37.1
End0.0