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Red95
177718.2
245155.5
33378.8
Blue144
49246.7
74453.4
154717.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7512305010015020025095144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#18
55.50.5
56.557.0
Auto0.9
Teleop54.5
End0.0
red by 2.1
744
#22
53.41.2
58.059.2
Auto1.5
Teleop51.9
End0.0
Second
1777
#65
18.20.5
19.820.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 28.4
492
#27
46.71.2
46.047.2
Auto0.2
Teleop46.5
End0.0
Third
3337
#73
8.80.5
9.19.6
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0
blue by 9.1
1547
#66
17.91.2
15.716.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0