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Red122
511434.8
546044.5
555435.7
Blue149
52586.5
100224.4
96744.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89150050200250300122149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5460
#24
44.51.0
39.740.7
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0
blue by 42.0
525
#3
86.50.2
78.778.9
Auto0.1
Teleop86.4
End0.0
Second
5554
#41
35.71.0
26.427.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop35.9
End0.0
blue by 8.7
967
#39
44.40.2
37.437.6
Auto0.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
Third
5114
#50
34.81.0
36.037.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop35.6
End0.0
red by 10.4
1002
#47
24.40.2
29.329.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0