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Red79
558427.2
96744.4
367449.0
Blue114
10215.5
471952.4
147.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions107106608010012014016079114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3674
#45
49.01.5
47.946.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.7
End0.0
blue by 3.4
4719
#16
52.40.1
46.947.0
Auto0.3
Teleop52.1
End0.0
Second
967
#39
44.41.5
39.037.5
Auto0.0
Teleop44.4
End0.0
blue by 2.6
1
#40
47.00.1
46.646.7
Auto-0.9
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Third
5584
#51
27.21.5
21.820.3
Auto0.9
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 11.7
102
#71
15.50.1
18.818.9
Auto0.4
Teleop15.1
End0.0