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Red37
437323.5
341022.0
302617.2
Blue49
554115.6
21944.3
147726.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589801502002503749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4373
#53
23.51.5
28.727.2
Auto0.3
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 20.8
219
#48
44.32.3
46.644.3
Auto0.0
Teleop44.3
End0.0
Second
3410
#55
22.01.5
24.222.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
blue by 4.9
1477
#54
26.92.3
37.735.4
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
Third
3026
#72
17.21.5
13.812.3
Auto0.4
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 1.5
5541
#67
15.62.3
11.18.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0