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Red60
33075.3
419810.3
511434.8
Blue112
86251.3
367449.0
302617.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311055015020060112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
330
#11
75.33.6
74.370.8
Auto2.7
Teleop72.6
End0.0
red by 24.0
862
#28
51.30.3
54.054.2
Auto-1.4
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Second
5114
#50
34.83.6
39.435.8
Auto-0.8
Teleop35.6
End0.0
blue by 14.2
3674
#45
49.00.3
46.546.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop49.7
End0.0
Third
4198
#76
10.33.6
17.513.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.6
End0.0
blue by 6.8
3026
#72
17.20.3
12.312.6
Auto0.4
Teleop16.7
End0.0