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Red122
23735.3
317523.8
154032.4
Blue128
245155.5
437323.5
49455.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73146050100200250300122128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
237
#69
35.31.7
32.133.9
Auto0.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
blue by 20.2
2451
#18
55.50.6
58.257.6
Auto0.9
Teleop54.5
End0.0
Second
1540
#46
32.41.7
34.436.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop32.4
End0.0
blue by 22.9
494
#14
55.30.6
54.253.6
Auto12.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Third
3175
#60
23.81.7
20.722.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 0.3
4373
#53
23.50.6
27.226.6
Auto0.3
Teleop23.2
End0.0