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Red209
206770.3
52586.5
74453.4
Blue197
492015.7
161974.6
314657.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20713150100150250300209197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#3
86.50.3
79.479.8
Auto0.1
Teleop86.4
End0.0
red by 12.0
1619
#12
74.62.4
76.779.2
Auto0.8
Teleop73.8
End0.0
Second
70.30.3
67.868.1
Auto0.2
Teleop70.1
End0.0
red by 12.9
3146
#21
57.42.4
58.060.5
Auto0.1
Teleop57.3
End0.0
Third
744
#22
53.40.3
55.455.7
Auto1.5
Teleop51.9
End0.0
red by 37.7
4920
#63
15.72.4
13.515.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0