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Red154
378749.1
49246.7
2759.0
Blue140
159556.7
59737.3
339711.6
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16280050100150200250154140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#7
59.00.0
62.962.9
Auto0.4
Teleop58.7
End0.0
red by 2.4
1595
#37
56.72.5
54.456.9
Auto1.2
Teleop55.5
End0.0
Second
3787
#15
49.10.0
44.244.1
Auto0.6
Teleop48.5
End0.0
red by 11.8
597
#25
37.32.5
30.933.5
Auto0.1
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Third
492
#27
46.70.0
47.847.7
Auto0.2
Teleop46.5
End0.0
red by 35.1
3397
#75
11.62.5
10.513.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.3
End0.0