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Red76
86251.3
437323.5
164934.0
Blue34
492015.7
33378.8
339711.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123170501001502007634

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#28
51.31.7
54.252.5
Auto-1.4
Teleop52.6
End0.0
red by 35.6
4920
#63
15.70.0
15.915.9
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
1649
#23
34.01.7
30.128.4
Auto0.8
Teleop33.2
End0.0
red by 22.4
3397
#75
11.60.0
13.013.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
4373
#53
23.51.7
26.624.9
Auto0.3
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 14.7
3337
#73
8.80.0
6.05.9
Auto0.4
Teleop8.4
End0.0