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Red135
87661.1
554115.6
154717.9
Blue153
59737.3
172647.6
205250.2
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73132050100150200250135153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
#6
61.12.5
58.661.1
Auto0.3
Teleop60.8
End0.0
red by 11.0
2052
#33
50.21.3
49.951.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Second
1547
#66
17.92.5
16.318.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.0
End0.0
blue by 29.7
1726
#13
47.61.3
44.145.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop47.7
End0.0
Third
5541
#67
15.62.5
10.412.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 21.6
597
#25
37.31.3
33.534.7
Auto0.1
Teleop37.2
End0.0