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Red72
147726.9
496147.8
169074.6
Blue147
11146.8
38448.7
546044.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1561265010020025072147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.64.0
76.172.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop75.1
End0.0
red by 25.9
384
#17
48.70.6
43.343.8
Auto0.0
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Second
4961
#10
47.84.0
45.241.2
Auto0.0
Teleop47.8
End0.0
red by 1.0
111
#31
46.80.6
51.452.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Third
1477
#54
26.94.0
36.032.0
Auto0.1
Teleop26.8
End0.0
blue by 17.6
5460
#24
44.50.6
40.741.2
Auto0.3
Teleop44.2
End0.0